THE INVESTOR CENTRE
All information correct as at 30 June 2016
Q
2 was dominated by the Brexit
vote,with sentiment driven by
opinion polls. Investors dislike
uncertainty and this caused many to
adopt a low-risk strategy.The risk-o
approach was shownwith 10-year
Germanbunds brie y giving negative
interest rates.There are indicators that
investment decisions were delayed
pending the vote,with some impact
on economic growth.
The oil price continued to recover
and this was re ected in strength in
the shares of BP and Royal Dutch Shell
as investors became more comfortable
that they could maintain their dividend
payment levels.
During the period new holdings
were purchased inAccrol andMidwich
in their otations,with both opening
at good premiums.Microfocus was
repurchased and the holding of Lloyds
Banking Group signi cantly increased.
The holdings ofAshtead,Centrica and
Direct Line Group were sold.
While the vote has given some clarity,
there is likely to be further uncertainty
as the fall-out in the Conservative
Party continues. In the longer term,
quality companies should continue to
bolster their position.
T
he UK referendumwas a roller-
coaster ride for risk assets, having
started Q2 on a positive footing,with
equity markets moving higher inApril,
May and early June.
The prospects of a second US rate
rise ebbed and owed,with US data
and global events in uencing
policymakers.During May, the chances
increased, before disappointing payroll
numbers cut the odds.
The market outlook on US rates and
the risk aversion driven by concerns
over the UK’s referendum has been
positive for global bonds. In commodity
markets, oil prices breached the $50
barrier.The initial catalyst had been
OPEC’s possible agreement to a
production freeze, before talks
collapsed.However,with production
cuts in the US, supply curtailed due to
res in Canada and attacks on
production in Nigeria, the price has
remained elevated compared to lows
seen earlier in the year.
Against this backdrop, clean energy
and emerging market infrastructure
detracted from performance.
However, commodities and water
were the largest positive contributors
towards the strong performance
delivered by the overall portfolio.
George Luckraft
Martin Horne
BlackRock Market Advantage Team
A
t the time of writing, the markets
were digesting the impact of the
UK’s vote to leave the EU.Throughout
Q1 and Q2, global markets have been
subject to volatility.Global senior
secured bonds have, throughout other
past volatile periods, showed robust
and defensive characteristics, given the
senior secured nature of these assets.
During Q2, the International
Corporate Bond fund has generated
positive returns.Q2 has seen upward
trends in commodity sentiment,
broadly improving economic indicators,
and accommodative central bank
action, aiding all risk assets.New
issuance has gained momentum and
corporate fundamentals still remain
robust.Within the US, European and
UK asset mix,the fund continues tobe
diversi ed, taking advantage by
deploying capital in new issuance with
attractive secondary market
opportunities.Given the run-up to
the June referendum, the volatility in
sterling-denominated credits has seen
a marginal impact on the fund’s
performance.Weexpect near-term
market volatility to be drivenmore by
sentiment than underlying corporate
fundamentals,which should create
attractive entry opportunities.
BABSON CAPITAL
International Corporate Bond
Defensive characteristics of global
senior secured bonds suited to volatility
BLACKROCK
Alternative Assets
Strong overall portfolio performance
thanks to commodities and water
AXA INVESTMENT
MANAGERS
Diversified Income
Allshare Income
Accrol and Midwich added, along with
an increase in Lloyds Banking Group
Energyprices, global
growth andBrexit
all create volatility
UK referendum
caused roller-coaster
ride for risk assets
Investors adopt low-
risk strategydue to
Brexit uncertainty
30
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THE INVESTOR




